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#51 | |||
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Member [27%]
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Great post! I completely agree with you. |
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#52 |
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Veteran Member [53%]
MBTI: INTJ
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 2,158
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Thanks. I don't think either are stupid, they're just so wrapped up in their own understandings that they cannot open their minds to consider the subject from a different perspective.
Continually rehashing variations of the exact same flawed understanding of market economics and how it should be managed to serve society (whether Keynesian, Austrian, Chicago, whatever) is the very definition of insanity. There are certain elements of validity in all these philosophies, but they also all share a single glaring flaw. They each overlook the exclusionary nature of the system itself which inevitably results in increased production efficiencies at the direct expense of purchasing power. Anytime there's an increase in efficiency there's a corresponding drop in demand. That's the disconnect. There's no mechanism inherent in market systems to correct for that. |
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#53 | ||||||||||||
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Core Member [111%]
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You're tying economies to their currency.
West Germany united with East Germany in the 90s. It took a major hit. They've managed to integrate both countries into a single currency, and now they have been able to build.
Greece has the same problem as the UK. They tried to solve their social problems, by massively over-inflating their public sector. They would then need to rely on the private sector, to bankroll the public sector. That in turn means an over-reliance on private sector industries. However, Western manufacturing has mostly moved to Asia. That in turn has only left the stock markets and banking sector to rely on. That put too much pressure on the stock markets and banking sector to generate fiscal income from the people. Eventually, the pressure was too much, and then they ended up collapsing.
And then the fiscal union inherits all the problems of the countries it absorbs. The federal economic system inherits the problems of the fiscal economies and the industries of the countries it absorbs as well. All this has already been happening in the EU and the Eurozone. Local problems were previously been handled by local solutions, that differ between countries, according to the subjective factors in each country. They now have to be handled on the federal level, and so there is 1 solution for all the countries, and so many of the previous solutions, no longer work. That in turn puts the pressure of the problems of MANY countries, on ONE system. Eventually, that pressure results in an entire collapse of both systems, and the inevitable political and economic power vacuum, result in wars between the member states of the union. |
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#54 | |||||||||
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Veteran Member [78%]
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That's a good summary - with the exception of the word "only."
There are also knock-on effects to demand. China is a very good example of this: companies aren't used to selling in China, so they never learn what marketing, or even customer service are. They never pressure the government to loosen its laws on everything to give the markets more of a chance. Chinese consumers never learn what value is, and therefore never develop a press capable of thinking in these abstract terms - with other knock on effects.
soo... |
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#55 | |||||||||||||||
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Member [27%]
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When you have the same currency as your trading partner you need to have the same economic power. Otherwise you end up in a trade deficit that grows exponentially as you are becoming more and more noncompetitive (your industries collapse).
They just became a "bigger and stronger country" and East Germany was brought up to speed pretty quick. (It sound so bad when you use the "they".. "They" who? "They" what?)
The banking and finance sector is a leech for the world economy. When the leaches will be cut of from their blood source, the systems that relay on the banking and finance will collapse.But I will develop that idea in a thread I will start when I will have time.
You sound so "nationalistic" is hurting. What systems are you talking about? It makes no sense. A good system (lets say a German model) implemented at a federal level will create a very powerful economic union in Europe because it will create economic values in the regions ("countries") that previously were incapable of creating much "value".
Thanks for the advice but as much as I respect some of your post about psychology I find your "pro-nationalism" rather peculiar... |
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#56 | ||||||||||||||||||
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Core Member [111%]
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So, whatever economic factors pushed for the dominoes to be laid out, in precisely the arrangement that allow them to fall in a cascading effect, coupled with whatever economic factors pushed for countries to not step in and stop the dominoes in their reach, cause the collapse. Not the Euro itself, but the way that the economic system is being driven.
I am personally unsure of that. That would depend on whether the countries would be working together, or in utter competition, with no care about how their actions affect the whole.
Not that quick. I was in my 20s. It was a big deal at the time, and took years. In the meantime, a lot of people worried that the result would be another German attempt to take over the world. That in turn worried Eastern Europe, that those who had backed the Germans in WWII, would do so again, and those who had suffered under the Germans, would do so again. The result was that both sides went to war, before the Germans could invade. Hence, the Yugoslav Wars.
I'm a programmer by profession. Keeping track of hundreds of variables in a single page, is what I would do all day long.
The banking sector, and the finance sector, are developments that were established to help trade flourish. That is their purpose. Banks were there to lend to businesses that had opportunity and desire to grow, but lacked the capital to do so. The markets stemmed from the Derivative markets, that were established primarily to ensure that corn farmers would get a stable price for their corn, irrespective of whether the harvest was a bumper year, or a bad year. You might as well say that medicine is a leech on the desire for life.
I find this ironic. I am anything but nationalistic. I'm not federalist either. I believe in moderation, and thinking out the consequences of your actions. Extremes usually lead to harm. So does being too optimistic about your own beliefs. |
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#57 | |||
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Veteran Member [78%]
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It's an odd time to be writing an eulogy for science, given that the two most mainstream schools of macroeconomics (Keynesianism and monetarism) both predicted that the Euro zone wouldn't survive its first major recession. |
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#58 |
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Veteran Member [53%]
MBTI: INTJ
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 2,158
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If anyone here can logically contradict the following over-simplified explanation I'd love to read it.
Production=undertaken by humans in the form of employees Consumption=undertaken by humans in the form of consumers Humans= A single group which represents both the ability to produce and the need to consume Production costs= encompass many things but the key variable is the portion attributable to employee wages Wages=translate directly to purchasing power which represents demand Increased production efficiency=the ability to produce more products at lower production costs (including lower employee wages) So if we employ a system which strives for ever-increasing production efficiency, (including ever-decreasing total employee wages relative to total production) does this not translate directly to an environment in which total production capacity inevitably will surpass total demand reflected by those wages? How can it not? Where's the natural mechanism by which a market economic system replaces demand lost through increases in production efficiency? That's the key question. |
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#59 | |||
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Member [04%]
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Increased efficiency leads to lower inflation meaning higher real wages, as well as higher profits which are paid to shareholders, directors and governments, or are reinvested. the profit that is not reinvested or paid to governments, can used to consume immediately by shareholders and directors, or saved as reserves and drawn-up in the downturn of a business cycle. The problem is when there are a lack of mechanisms to give people the confidence to invest as has happened with this credit crunch. Likewise governments may take pro-cyclical measures for ideological reasons (both spending when the economy is going well, and excessively cutting when the economy is in a downturn) |
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#60 | |||
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Veteran Member [78%]
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Creativity. Easiest to see its absence. See my post #54 ("There are also knock-on effects to demand...") |
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#61 | ||||||
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Veteran Member [53%]
MBTI: INTJ
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 2,158
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What's the impetus necessary to spur creativity?
Please provide a real-world example of this. |
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#62 | |||
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Veteran Member [78%]
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A number of things. A non-clueless leadership is one thing, as I mentioned above. Also, education and the opportunity to self-educate. All of these are basically tied to "leisure" time. |
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#63 |
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Veteran Member [53%]
MBTI: INTJ
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 2,158
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But I'm not asking about creativity at the individual level. I'm asking what is the impetus to spur creativity at the collective level?
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#64 |
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Veteran Member [78%]
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In addition to the 'micro' factors that work the same on all levels, the only other thing I'd point to is a government and society that allow and reward free thought.
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#65 |
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Veteran Member [53%]
MBTI: INTJ
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 2,158
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We've gone off on a tangent. Lets exchange the word "innovation" for creativity.
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#66 |
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Veteran Member [78%]
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Then you're moving to the supply side. Creativity is the ability to appreciate useless things - we'll call that "art," ignoring its potential for real utility. Your question was what happens to all the people unemployed by increasing productivity. My answer is an "art" economy.
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#67 | |||
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Veteran Member [53%]
MBTI: INTJ
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 2,158
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Cool. Good answer, now I follow. Do you disagree though, that the presence of such creativity in individuals is unevenly distributed and resulting much less from economic circumstance than from other social, cultural, perhaps even genetic factors? |
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#68 | |||
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Core Member [111%]
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Economics seems to be treated as if it was a science. You are quite welcome to inform economists that they have nothing in common with scientists. |
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#69 | |||
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Veteran Member [78%]
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So, some of these people who have been made redundant will become artists' assistants, rather than artists themselves. In any case, the economy is one very important factor, so there should be a strong enough relationship on average. |
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#70 |
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Member [35%]
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To view links or images in this forum your post count must be 2 or greater. You currently have 0 posts. To view links or images in this forum your post count must be 2 or greater. You currently have 0 posts. |
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#71 | |||
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Core Member [163%]
MBTI: INTP
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 6,546
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Wealth as public acclaim. A world of vanity. I shall pay for your art with my applause, have three claps on the house, I have an infinite number of them. |
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#72 | |||
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Member [04%]
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Inflation is a rise in prices as measured by a given index of goods. Improved productivity=lower average costs=lower inflation. |
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#73 | |||
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Veteran Member [53%]
MBTI: INTJ
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 2,158
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Yes I understand the theory. Please provide a real-world example of such a meaningful occurence. |
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#74 | |||
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Member [04%]
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It is so central to our system that it's taken for granted. For example the cheapness and availability of all mass produced goods, from consumer goods to food. A car used to be inaccessible to all but the elite, now most families have two. |
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#75 | |||
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Member [27%]
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Exactly! Economy made simple.
Last edited by wolfyx; 06-29-2012 at 01:51 AM.
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