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#1 | |||||||||||||||
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Member [09%]
MBTI: INTJ
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 370
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This thread started in response to the following exchange:
I started this thread in 'Politics' and not 'science' for a reason, because it is a political argument that happens to use science to back it up. There is a great deal of science to disprove GW, but I will begin with the political implications.
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#2 | ||||||||||||
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Member [09%]
MBTI: INTJ
Join Date: Dec 2007
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And on a more serious note.
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Quotes of Key Hoaxers:
And of course anyone that doesn't toe the line is subject to smearing because they might actually tell the truth. If the dissenters are in fact wrong as the hoaxers claim they are, then the hoaxers would have nothing to fear. An honest, public debate would certainly bring the truth to light, but they won't let this happen, and the smear campaigns continue.
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#3 |
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Member [02%]
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Sylvanus, I was going to post without reading all of your gigantic wall of text, but I decided that would be unfair. So, I read it all, and what I was going to say originally remains unchanged.
Your argument relies almost entirely upon appeals to Ethos and Pathos. I can't actually add anything to the discussion because there's not much to discuss beyond "yes, I agree" or "no, I don't." |
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#4 | ||||||
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Member [09%]
MBTI: INTJ
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 370
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There will be more. This is just a beginning to discredit the argument:
I've got to get going, but when I have time I will post climate data. |
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#5 |
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Core Member [162%]
MBTI: INTP
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 6,492
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I would say he has a point but for the wrong reasons.
Global warming and cooling in natural and occurred in much more extreme versions pre mankind. Even if we are warming the planet we cant conclude it will lead to disaster. In previous phases the world didn't end. I often see green activists accuse oil majors etc of funding studies debunking GW. What they never say is that vast amounts of public money that is going into proving GW dwarfs this. You cannot get a research grant for blue sky stuff. Its a standing joke in scientific journals that if you want a grant you add "in the context of global warming" to your proposal. This will ensure your project is funded. If you conclude there is no warming you will gain no further grants. Simply showing the world is warming proves nothing and implies nothing. There are lion and hippo bones dug up in the UK from when it was tropical. The world could be in natural warming phase. I am minded of vikings living and growing crops in Greenland. Then as temperatures cooled it was abandoned. The bottom came at the little ice age, where the sea around the UK would freeze and we have all those pictures of skating on the river Thames. Now the world is warming back to what it was. But that is not to say that man is doing it or that it is a bad thing. I see a gravy train for scientists and they have a vested interest in keeping it going. |
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#6 | |||
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Member [02%]
MBTI: INTJ
Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 110
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Guilt by association, a common rhetorical tool to degrade arguments used. |
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#7 |
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Member [04%]
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I think there's a slight flaw to all this. Many people assume it is a zero sum game to argue against the GW theory-that in itself may not in fact be true. In the process of developing alternative energy, new markets can be created; it does not automatically equate to the zero-sum capitalist vs. socialist chart you placed there. Part of it depends on how green energy and alternative energy markets themselves develop. And quite frankly, that's a natural part of any new industry's developmental process-usually something will get eroded, usually it is the established status quo methodology. That's nothing new.
Whether or not GW is all human or all natural is not of the greatest concern. It could be all natural, it could be all human, or it could be a factor of both. But we can face some other facts: 1) drop in oil reserves, or possible drop in oil; 2) some of the real human damages that are caused by the procurement of oil and normative status quo energy sources such as coal; 3) the drop in naturally agricultural land with a percipitated decrease in global grain production (you can google it yourself, it's a trend); 4) that a diverse environment is not just beneficial to nature, but also to humans; 5) that nature may have an intrinsic value; 6) that having a well balanced nature and earth itself can benefit humans for future generations. The fact that humans do depend tremendously on the well-being of this planet is indisputable; our ability to maintain its well-being affects humans as well. That fact can stand alone as a reason for conservation in general, with or without GW. It is indeed a sad fact that we do at times need more alarmist policies to trigger people to conserve-and as a backlash there are those who use the methodology of driving more SVUs to go against the GW grain. The truth of the matter is, we are destroying the planet. Whether or not you buy into the GW theory is not a concern for me and we can agree to disagree. Quite frankly mine is until we take out potential human factors we will never know if it is all natural; additionally, there is nothing wrong with conservation, as it helps in the case GW is right, and it helps even if GW isn't right as it increases the overall quality of life-a concrete jungle with no trees is indeed a depressing sight to behold, as well as only seeing wild animals in zoos. |
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#8 | |||
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Member [09%]
MBTI: INTJ
Join Date: Dec 2007
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That was not my point. According to Nobel's will the prize should be awarded to "to the person who shall have done the most or the best work for fraternity between nations, for the abolition or reduction of standing armies and for the holding and promotion of peace congresses." If these people are foolish enough to believe that Carter or Arafat have done any of these things, then it is likely they will make similar foolish choices in the future, or in the recent past. |
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#9 | |||
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Member [25%]
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*applauds xanodel* |
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#10 |
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Member [06%]
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The planet is getting hotter, humans arent causing it.
We still need to change out obsessive consumer habits IMO. But the government can fukk off if they think they can tell us how to do it. The End |
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#11 |
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Member [06%]
MBTI: INTj
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Posts: 258
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I fail to see how falsifying the global warming hypothesis includes a socialism/capitalism debate.
On another note, how on earth do you expect people to change their consumer habits on their own? We as a society are by and large ignorant and selfish; good luck having people change the status quo on their own. People won't change if they don't have to, thus, it won't happen without regulation. |
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#12 | |||
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Core Member [152%]
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Ah! I'll give you your answer. |
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#13 | |||
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Core Member [162%]
MBTI: INTP
Join Date: Jan 2008
Posts: 6,492
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Even if your electric cars were better you cannot produce them at anywhere near the cost the big auto producers can produce with mass production. They have that volume on their side. If, through subsidy, you can get your volume up then the benefits of your cars win out. That subsidy is the motive force in pushing from one stable state to the other, which is better. |
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#14 | |||
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Member [16%]
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You're wrong. Electric cars may start out as a harder sell due to issues with volume, but it certainly wouldn't be impossible to succeed in such a business. One thing that would make it more difficult is regulations brought on by the lobbyists for the big auto-companies; a good example of how government intervention in the marketplace can hurt the environment and consumers. |
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#15 |
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Core Member [162%]
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On the one hand you say government acting, through legislation, with the auto makers to prevent the small guy building electric cars is a bad thing.
On the other you say that government subsidy to help the small guy build electric cars is also a bad thing. Seems to me your issue is not with electric cars but government, whatever they do they are wrong. Libertarians + Ayn Rand supporters discussion is over there. |
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#16 | |||
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Core Member [152%]
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You should really put more trust in the power of the market. I'm not planning on building EVs from scratch, I'm planning on converting used cars to electric. The first thing that breaks is always the engine, the frame, transmission, suspension and interior are all still usable. Certify them, recondition them, throw in an A/C motor and some batteries and you have yourself a commuter vehicle that will last for a decade. They will sell for less than 10,000 dollars (or lease) and should pay for themselves over their lifetime through reduced maintenance and fuel costs. |
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#17 | |||
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Member [16%]
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God forbid we apply those principles to other subjects. |
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#18 |
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Member [04%]
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The above debates amuse me.
I think hybrids are a move in the direction towards electric cars. Energy efficiency as well as change to alternative energy are attractive factors. Think about auto companies that depend on energy efficient cars (think Toyota, Honda etc) versus the less energy efficient cars such as Ford, GM etc. The US auto-makers are more or less failing (aren't they close to bankruptcy?). I think the overall demand for hybrids do evidence to some degree that energy efficient cars are winning if by marketplace demand alone; it may also be indicative that if we could replace oil with another energy source, it may also be well in demand. There are also wind and solar companies that are economically doing quite well; the remaining question is that of volume, and whether or not we have to technology to cover all industries with alternative energy sources. Currently we can't cover all corners with alternative energy sources, but at the very least we can move towards that area, and perhaps one day with enough volume replace it. It's again an issue of technological capability and overall market supply volume. But also in some places, wind and solar energy are cheaper than coal based energy. But let me ask this. If oil/coal companies can lobby for congress to not change rules and regulations (aka protection), why can't alternative energy companies likewise ask for government incentives? Isn't that a double standard? And for people who are that adamant against government regulations, shouldn't we end governmental protection too for the failing automaker companies and let market capitalism do it's chop chop job? Another advantage I think with alternative energy is it creates new markets. That is usually a plus. |
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#19 | |||||||||
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Member [16%]
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Neither side should be able to get incentives. It's absolutely ridiculous that the U.S. government is subsidizing oil companies while they're making record profits.
Absolutely.
I couldn't agree more. |
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#20 |
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Member [05%]
MBTI: INTJ
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 209
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sylvanus you offer very little in a concrete discussion on GW. A true INTJ wants to learn the truth regardless of how it affects their current view of the world.
Therefore you have either not fully developed your INTJ (or you are just posing as one). Or your religious beliefs have clouded your judgment; which often happens to religious people. You are arguing with emotions and using faulty logic as pointed out by others. This reminds me of a favorite quote: Never argue with a fool. Someone watching may not be able to tell the difference. ~Author Unknown |
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#21 |
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Banned
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Join Date: Feb 2008
Posts: 7
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LOL here I am as an INTJ staying neutral but I wouldn't call the guy an idiot or a poser intj because he has a different view I wouldn't call global warming a hoax but I am a skeptic. everyone knows that the earth goes through natural stages I believe the earth could be going through a natural state but humans are just speeding it up and altering it just enough to tilt the scale also... I believe part of the global warming debate is sustainability. No one wants to admit it but alternative energies need to be developed and once developed we have no idea on their life spans. Coal is estimated to have a huge reserve as of right now humans have only use I believe like 30% or so of coal. So if we do switch to electric cars we( the U.S) will just stop using so much gas and use more coal majority of the coal plants in the u.s are coal fired 2% hydro electric 8% nuclear. So coal is estimated to last the human race another 100 years. Then what? I personally think global warming is just the pre-requisite to introducing the masses to sustainability which will ultimately lead down to population control. Do I agree with population control no is it necessary I hope not.
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#22 | |||
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Member [16%]
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That may be true, but that doesn't determine what the INTJ will consider to be the truth. If sylvanus genuinely believes what he's saying is the truth, then how does that conflict with your idea of what an INTJ is? |
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#23 | |||||||||
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Member [09%]
MBTI: INTJ
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 370
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I agree that this is not a very thorough debunking. This beginning merely shows that there are people who have a lot to gain and have ulterior motives for denying the truth. There is a lot of data out there that disproves the GW myth. Currently I have some work I need to do, but once that is complete I will scour the internet for the truth, and hopefully post it before my weekend. If that happens it may not be until Monday until I can post it.
New markets may be created, and may weaken or destroy the old. That is not necessarily a bad thing. However, it is a bad thing if it is at the expense of the taxpayers or if it inhibits economic growth through legislation, especially if it is in the name of a Hoax.
I agree that some resources are finite, and it is in our long-term best interest to conserve them. The earth is huge, and it takes a lot to impact it, but the effect of a lot of people over a long period of time does take its toll. However, the majority of legislation in the name of GW, has little or nothing to do with conservation. It is about penalizing the producers and robbing Peter to pay Paul, and is a detriment to our freedoms and our standard of living. |
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#24 |
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Member [16%]
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I believe GW is a hoax, a very convenient one. I don't feel all the statistics are yet in for a long enough period of time to accurately judge a warming or a cooling of this planet. Hundreds of years are less impressive than thousands, and millions, more conclusive. And in the latter eras fluctuations are noticeable in the earths strata.
A separate issue is human occupation and its luxurious lifestyle which may be moving to rather a basic existence at the present rate of consumption. The planet will always exist... man may not. |
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#25 |
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Member [46%]
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First, countries stop making problems for themselves. OMG not that hard.
Then, all countries are at relative peace and some have a surplus of resources. YAY. After, consider the global problems and instead of cutting taxes use surplus on rebuilding environment and reducing large human output. |
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