Visitor Messages

Showing Visitor Messages 1 to 20 of 825
  1. Moxiie
    02-22-2014 02:54 PM
    Thanks! It's something that is increasingly bothering me as I begin to peel back the layers of this onion. It really does infuriate me.
  2. Moxiie
    02-21-2014 09:43 PM
    lol. I get soap boxy sometimes.
  3. searcher
    02-10-2014 09:34 PM
    Covers quite comprehensively what you were speaking of in your post - the reduction of human proclivity to violence over the years.
  4. searcher
    02-09-2014 10:58 PM
    searcher commented on Death and Plastic: the yoginimama thread
    OOH! Have you read Steven Pinker's "The Better Angels of Our Nature"?
  5. Clueless
    02-03-2014 06:06 PM
    LOL, no worries. Me either. Only time will tell for certain. I stand by my assertion that insufficient time has elapsed to determine whether Buffett has inspired copy-cats who will duplicate his success. I find that portion of your analysis faulty. He can't be dismissed as lucky or a fluke on that basis yet. And really, he can never be labelled such on that basis alone. The possibility exists that he simply is smarter than the rest of us when it comes to risk evaluation and resource allocation. I don't think that is true though, and tend to agree with you in that if there is a method to his madness someone will identify and understand it, maybe several people will.
  6. Clueless
    02-03-2014 11:56 AM
    I lost you with the wall of text didn't I?
  7. Clueless
    02-01-2014 12:20 PM
    You're falling into the trap that many fall into. It's just my opinion obviously but the explanation I have for you is multi-faceted.
    It has taken him in excess of 60 years to get from where he started to where he is now. It didn't happen overnight. So; 1) He's only been on the "public radar" in a huge way for maybe 25-30 years. 2) Lots of people (very intelligent ones) make the assumption you're making and dismiss his results as "luck" or "a fluke". They therefore make no effort to study for the purpose of duplication. So given the relatively short span of public awareness which inherently coincides with the available time anyone would have available with which to duplicate results, even if there are folks out there who understand his methodology, that wouldn't have revealed itself yet. 3) It is definitely not a matter of taking specific actions. There is no recipe, as in baking a cake. It most certainly isn't that simple so though there may eventually be the dozens you would expect, the numbers will/would be relatively small. As an aside, it has always been puzzling to me that so many folks seem to have a sort of intuitive expectation that some recipe must exist. This is self-evident in the success of an entire cottage industry selling courses in real-estate investing schemes, stock & options trading schemes, etc. If, as you say, such step-by-step schemes were viable everyone would be able to do it just as nearly everyone can read the directions on a Duncan Hines box and bake a cake. I don't know much about meteorology but what little I do know leads me to believe it is analogous to economics. There are precious few absolutes. But there are a small handful. Generally speaking, there are so many possible inputs and so many possible outputs, both sets impacted by myriad nebulous social, personal, competitive, and political influences that on the surface it appears impossible to make predictions with favorable odds. But it is possible given an accurate understanding and a disciplined approach, which is exactly what has enabled Buffetts success. It isn't important to know what he does or is going to do. It is important to understand how he thinks. Buffett has made plenty of mistakes. But the understanding he possesses allows that all the decisions he makes are ones in which the probabilities are always in his favor. Combine this with a disciplined approach and you have someone who is correct so much more often than not that success is guaranteed.
  8. plotthickens
    02-01-2014 02:47 AM
    That you can see these things in yourself is a great step forward. Yeay you!
  9. Clueless
    01-31-2014 11:32 PM
    Why is it that you question Buffetts results? I can't imagine a more obvious and appropriate example. I puzzle over the widespread skepticism. It's hard for me to fathom that so many people believe he's just been lucky, or that they're so cynical as to believe he's somehow cheated.
  10. Clueless
    01-31-2014 10:47 PM
    It is for those who have the mentality of most hedge fund managers and the understanding of about 99% of the population.
    I don't claim to be the world's foremost mind, but it makes a difference where you focus your efforts to understand. Beating the market isn't difficult, especially over longer time periods. It can't be beaten year in and year out, but it can be beaten by a lot over a longer time horizon. Buffett has proven that beyond doubt.
    The main reason people can't beat the market is because they're trying to, one year at a time.
  11. Clueless
  12. Imperator
    01-31-2014 11:11 AM
    SS can't account for the ambiguity and flexibility in the system. Or at least, I haven't seen anything that accounts for the interplay I see in the evidence.

    Basic system: You had slaves, freedmen, and freeborn. But the powers and responsibilities of each order are intermixed and change over time (especially from Republic to Empire and the rise of Imperial slaves). Being a slave wasn't always bad, and being freeborn wasn't always all that.

    I think social scientists want set systems, so they can make rules with predicative power. You know, like "Democracy always gives way to Monarchy, in XYZ many years, in ABC circumstances". Problem is, it doesn't, hence why economists have such trouble predicting and preventing recessions and depressions. People are more complicated than mathematic formulas.
  13. SelfMadeBum
    01-21-2014 08:02 PM
    I hope this wall reminds you that people truly care.

    Happy birthday, love.
  14. Cooper
    01-21-2014 11:15 AM
  15. Bioplasmoid
    01-21-2014 09:57 AM
    I heard the rumor also. Happy Birthday.
  16. lor6
    01-21-2014 08:18 AM
    Happy Birthday!
  17. WoodsWoman
    01-21-2014 07:49 AM
    Happy Birthday Lady!!!
  18. Doc Savage
    01-21-2014 07:01 AM
    Doc Savage
    So...I heard a rumor or something...about you...rumor says ( rumors are not always malicious) you are now another year...uh..

    We wont say "older"....umm....another year more mature and wiser??

    Yes!!.. You are queen for a day!!!

    Happy Birthday to youuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuu!!!!

    Have a great day!
  19. WoodsWoman
    01-11-2014 12:28 PM

    We here in the US have the regrettable tendency to treat our faith like our politics - give someone else all the money, and be absolved of doing anything at all personally. *shakes head*
  20. INTJRyan
    01-08-2014 04:50 PM
    As you might imagine, the inability to contingency plan the extinction of humanity is the cause of great consternation for this INTJ. On one hand, it's rather pathetic that we as a species launched civilization with no forethought to sustainability, so good riddance! On the other, we've accumulated so much knowledge of how the universe works, it pains me to see that all go to waste, library of Alexandria style.

    I'm like you. I sort expect the worst and hope for the best, but totally agree that there is nothing we can do at this point. Many now think that a total and complete shutdown of the global economy is the only thing that could MAYBE reverse the damage. But that in itself will also cause a shit load of misery and death, so fuck it, bottoms up, smoke 'em while you got 'em, and live with no regrets.

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  • About yoginimama
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  • Join Date: 09-09-2009
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